Monday, August 2, 2010

Formal Predictions from the Swimming Science Man

G. John Mullen, the man behind the Swimming Science.net, emailed me his predictions for Nationals last night. In addition to some highlights that he mentions below, he has Eric Shanteau winning the 100 breast, Chad LaTourette winning the men's mile, and Katie Hoff winning three National titles. In addition, he picked Tanya Krisman (200 fly) Amber McDermott (800 free), and Katy Freeman (200 breast) to finish among the top three. He also has a formal theme to his predictions, so check them out:

Formal names for my formal picks as many greats take a fall during the 2010 National Championships. Coughlin is unable to hold off a fierce Elizabeth Pelton, Phelps' can't pull the victory in the 200 free and Lochte fails to win an event due to a groin injury....this is going to be a meet for the ages! Good luck to all the athletes (especially those I predicted), I can't wait to see the meet in person!

Event 1 Women 100 LC Meter Butterfly

1. Magnuson, Christine

2. Vollmer, Dana

3. Mohler, Mary

Event 2 Men 400 LC Meter Freestyle

1. Vanderkaay, Peter

2. Klueh, Michael

3. La Tourette, Chad

Event 3 Women 200 LC Meter IM

1. Kukors, Ariana

2. Smit, Julia

3. Hoff, Kathryn

Event 4 Men 100 LC Meter Breaststroke

1. Shanteau, Eric

2. Gangloff, Mark

3. Alexandrov, Michael

Event 5 Women 400 LC Meter Freestyle

1. Hoff, Kathryn

2. Schmitt, Allison

3. Sutton, Chloe

Event 6 Men 400 LC Meter IM

1. Clary, Scott

2. Vanderkaay, Alex

3. Margalis, Robert

Event 8 Women 100 LC Meter Backstroke

1. Pelton, Elizabeth

2. Coughlin, Natalie

3. Bootsma, Rachel

Event 9 Men 200 LC Meter Freestyle

1. Vanderkaay, Peter

2. Phelps, Michael

3. Lochte, Ryan

4. Walters, David

5. Berens, Richard

6. Madwed, Daniel

Event 10 Men 100 LC Meter Backstroke

1. Peirsol, Aaron

2. Thoman, Nicholas

3. Grevers, Matthew

Event 11 Women 200 LC Meter Freestyle

1. Hoff, Kathryn

2. Schmitt, Allison

3. Vollmer, Dana

4. Kukors, Ariana

5. Franklin, Melissa

6. Knutson, Dagny

Event 12 Men 200 LC Meter Butterfly

1. Phelps, Michael

2. Clary, Scott

3. Dylla, Mark

Event 14 Women 100 LC Meter Breaststroke

1. Soni, Rebecca

2. Hardy, Jessica

3. Carlson, Kasey

Event 15 Men 100 LC Meter Butterfly

1. Phelps, Michael

2. McGill, Tyler

3. Brady, Christopher

Event 16 Women 50 LC Meter Freestyle

1. Joyce, Kara Lynn

2. Jackson, Lara

3. Weir, Amanda

Event 17 Men 50 LC Meter Freestyle

1. Adrian, Nathan

2. Weber-Gale, Garrett

3. Jones, Cullen

Event 18 Women 400 LC Meter IM

1. Hoff, Kathryn

2. Beisel, Elizabeth

3. Smit, Julia

Event 20 Men 100 LC Meter Freestyle

1. Adrian, Nathan

2. Lezak, Jason

3. Walters, David

4. Weber-Gale, Garrett

5. Jones, Cullen

6. Lochte, Ryan

Event 21 Women 200 LC Meter Butterfly

1. Breeden, Elaine

2. Hersey, Kathleen

3. Krisman, Tanya

Event 22 Men 200 LC Meter IM

1. Phelps, Michael

2. Clary, Scott

3. Shanteau, Eric

Event 23 Women 200 LC Meter Backstroke

1. Beisel, Elizabeth

2. Pelton, Elizabeth

3. Hoelzer, Margaret

Event 25 Women 800 LC Meter Freestyle

1. Ziegler, Kate

2. Sutton, Chloe

3. McDermott, Amber

Event 26 Women 100 LC Meter Freestyle

1. Vollmer, Dana

2. Joyce, Kara Lynn

3. Weir, Amanda

4. Coughlin, Natalie

5. Franklin, Melissa

6. Hardy, Jessica

Event 27 Men 200 LC Meter Backstroke

1. Peirsol, Aaron

2. Phelps, Michael

3. Lochte, Ryan

Event 28 Women 200 LC Meter Breaststroke

1. Soni, Rebecca

2. Hehn, Keri

3. Freeman, Katlin

Event 29 Men 200 LC Meter Breaststroke

1. Shanteau, Eric

2. Mahoney, Sean

3. Spann, Scott

Event 30 Men 1500 LC Meter Freestyle

1. LaTourette, Chad

2. Vanderkaay, Peter

3. Klueh, Michael

2 comments:

  1. Betting against phelps, always a risky move. Otherwise I'll be cheering for all ye pics lil bro.

    Emily Mullen

    ReplyDelete
  2. If these picks were not made with some sort of regression series or other statistical modeling, I am going to be highly disappointed.

    ReplyDelete